Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 10.329698 12.153809 14.154101 16.503472 19.179984 22.126784 25.608991
2025-03-23 7.465234 9.979916 13.039008 16.998733 21.949154 27.891604 35.517634
2025-03-30 5.917031 8.762498 12.518646 17.756060 24.772700 33.740312 45.941361
2025-04-06 4.526218 7.351706 11.362515 17.328310 25.804501 37.217999 53.507614
2025-04-13 3.419768 6.062851 10.078148 16.414269 25.903882 39.283791 59.189919
2025-04-20 3.009544 5.731139 10.098199 17.319599 28.588383 45.048217 70.320296
2025-04-27 2.729195 5.544791 10.289367 18.465501 31.687868 51.596668 82.994871
2025-05-04 2.362668 5.129183 10.028120 18.825470 33.562422 56.419067 93.413327
2025-05-11 1.996582 4.636179 9.548947 18.738378 34.671160 60.100900 102.295994
2025-05-18 1.661938 4.131903 8.964364 18.375713 35.251384 62.943097 110.000582
2025-05-25 1.390398 3.698096 8.438698 18.036928 35.807508 65.739576 117.751442
2025-06-01 1.164048 3.311928 7.941820 17.677497 36.266880 68.368504 125.341334
2025-06-08 0.887787 2.754816 7.032981 16.465251 35.174454 68.483248 129.133340
2025-06-15 0.790929 2.622773 7.018606 17.057959 37.536955 74.815347 143.962876
2025-06-22 0.718150 2.535955 7.090660 17.837464 40.329115 82.105792 160.904889
2025-06-29 0.586841 2.245176 6.632419 17.411823 40.694364 85.017323 170.331519
2025-07-06 0.456459 1.911132 5.998448 16.494691 39.949761 85.790496 175.944241
2025-07-13 0.425322 1.886274 6.149895 17.403956 43.084408 94.086829 195.710250
2025-07-20 0.405541 1.894848 6.391630 18.554655 46.826690 103.772898 218.541569
2025-07-27 0.359538 1.794307 6.314519 18.916118 48.879576 110.279950 235.753809
2025-08-03 0.306166 1.645991 6.071904 18.828667 49.922249 114.839457 249.502388
2025-08-10 0.253869 1.479935 5.741155 18.464502 50.293831 118.052912 260.810558
2025-08-17 0.210669 1.333096 5.436979 18.124310 50.679694 121.303938 272.342320